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Speaker

Erwan Grasland

Director, Head of Market Modelling and Planning, Lonza Group

Built a new Market Modelling function to generate insights based on hard data for the pharmaceutical CDMO market, through data science and machine learning forecasting models.

Worked towards fostering and strengthening the analytical culture in middle and top management, linking with business strategy: thinking in ranges, dealing with uncertainty, understanding data biases...

Main products developed include:
• An advanced market forecasting model using machine learning methods to predict drug clinical advancement, now fully integrated in the strategic process of over 10 Business Units
• A management cockpit to easily assess the clinical journey of any pharma drug, or any modality segment
• A live tool to monitor drug advancement dynamics, bringing insight on the market never covered before and challenging existing approaches
• A tool to simulate a drug portfolio’s clinical transformation over time, used to support many development business cases
• A sales scoring tool to rank and filter the best prospects drugs to acquire based on their long-term potential
• A newsletter to promote analytical culture and knowledge, followed by ~200 managers across the company, with outstanding feedback

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Session

Using clinical data to better understand the market

Case Study

Monday, October 06

02:40 pm - 03:05 pm

Live in Berlin

Less Details

We use data and modelling to understand and forecast market developments and trends in the pharma market for the next 5-10 years. We have built our model ourselves, and are using the current and historical data to show us diverse scenarios on how certain molecules and products have – and will perform. This helps us have strategic conversations and make strategic decisions globally. In this presentation you will learn:

  • How we built the tool
  • What data we use and why we decided on this approach
  • How to forecast in the current turbulent global market?
Presentation

Company

Lonza Group

http://www.lonza.com
At Lonza, we enable A Healthier World by supporting our healthcare customers on the path to commercialization. Our community of 16,000 talented employees work across a global network of more than 30 sites to deliver for our customers across the pharma, biotech and nutrition markets.
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Pharma CIMI.CON 2025 is part of the HR & Communication Tech Event Series. You can find more events here.
Date
October 06 – 07, 2025
Location
Maritim proArte Hotel
Friedrichstraße 151, Dorotheenstraße 65
10117 Berlin
Phone
+49 (0)30 52 10 70 3 0
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